Οι χώρες κατατάσσονται από την CMA DataVision με το δείκτη "Συσσωρευτικής Πιθανότητας Χρεοκοπίας" (cumulative probability of default - CPD) που είναι στην ουσία αξιολογεί από την πλευρά των αγορών την πιθανότητα να βαρέσει διάλυση μια εκδότρια χώρα στη διάρκεια των 5ετών συμβολαίων ομολόγων swaps (credit default swaps - CDS)... ή κάτι τέτοιο τέλος πάντων :)... Πάντως, εάν μια χώρα έχει μια πιθανότητα 20% CPD για τις πενταετείς συμβάσεις των CD της, η αγορά θεωρεί ότι αυτό το χρέος έχει μια πιθανότητα δύο στα δέκα, μέσα στα επόμενα πέντε έτη, να μην ΑΠΟΠΛΗΡΩΘΕΙ...
Ας δούμε λοιπόν τις 10 πιο επικίνδυνες χώρες για χρεοκοπία... στη θέση νούμερο 10, στο τέλος, είναι ή έκπληξη των τελευταίων μηνών...
1. Venezuela
CPD: 56.26%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: BB-
Foreign Short Term: B
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: Venezuela, Caracas, skyline
1. VenezuelaCPD: 56.26%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: BB-
Foreign Short Term: B
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: Venezuela, Caracas, skyline
2. Ukraine
CPD: 52.91%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: CCC+
Foreign Short Term: C
Credit Watch/Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Kiev, Ukraine, Independence Square
CPD: 52.91%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: CCC+
Foreign Short Term: C
Credit Watch/Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Kiev, Ukraine, Independence Square
3. Argentina
CPD: 46.06%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: B-
Foreign Short Term: C
Credit Watch/Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Argentina, Buenos Aires, El Obelisko, Plaza de la Republica, and Avenida.
CPD: 46.06%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: B-
Foreign Short Term: C
Credit Watch/Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Argentina, Buenos Aires, El Obelisko, Plaza de la Republica, and Avenida.
4. Pakistan
CPD: 38.11%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: B-
Foreign Short Term: C
Credit Watch/Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Pakistani college students and athletes line the roadside
CPD: 38.11%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: B-
Foreign Short Term: C
Credit Watch/Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Pakistani college students and athletes line the roadside
5. Republic of LatviaCPD: 30.47%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: BB
Foreign Short Term: B
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: A general view of Riga taken from the top of St. Peters church on May 11, 2006.
6. Dubai, UAE
CPD: 25.71%
S&P Credit Rating: *
Foreign Long Term: BB+
Local Long Term: BB+
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: The Burj Dubai the tallest building in the world dominates the city skyline
7. Iceland
CPD: 24.66%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: BBB-
Foreign Short Term: A-3
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: A general aerial view taken in August 2005 of Reykjavík, the capital of Iceland.
CPD: 24.66%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: BBB-
Foreign Short Term: A-3
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: A general aerial view taken in August 2005 of Reykjavík, the capital of Iceland.
8. Lithuania
CPD: 19.11%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: BBB
Foreign Short Term: A-3
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: City Financial skyline, Vilnius, Lithuania.
CPD: 19.11%
S&P Credit Ratings:
Foreign Long Term: BBB
Foreign Short Term: A-3
Credit Watch/Outlook: Negative
Pictured: City Financial skyline, Vilnius, Lithuania.
9. California, USA
CPD: 18.97%
Moody's Credit Ratings:
Senior-most tax backed: Baa1
Senior-most revenue backed: Baa1
Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Downtown Los Angeles, California.
CPD: 18.97%
Moody's Credit Ratings:
Senior-most tax backed: Baa1
Senior-most revenue backed: Baa1
Outlook: Stable
Pictured: Downtown Los Angeles, California.
ΚΑΙ Η ΧΩΡΑ ΕΚΠΛΗΞΗ ΠΟΥ ΤΟΥΣ ΤΕΛΕΥΤΑΙΟΥΣ ΜΗΝΕΣ ΚΑΝΕΙ ΡΑΛΛΥ:
10. Greece
CPD: 18.67%
Fitch/Moody's Credit Rating:
BBB+ / BBB+
Pictured: The view over the caldera of Santorini, Greece.
CPD: 18.67%
Fitch/Moody's Credit Rating:
BBB+ / BBB+
Pictured: The view over the caldera of Santorini, Greece.
ΆΝΤΕ ΠΑΙΔΙΑ ΓΕΡΑ ΚΑΙ ΤΟΥΣ ΦΑΓΑΜΕ...
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